EOG

I consider EOG a pure-play Permian producer. It's other assets do not move the needle compared to its operations in the Permian.  

EOG:

  • market cap: $56 billion
  • dividend: regular, 75 cents quarterly; special $2.00 dividend paid December, 2021;
  • P/E: 18
  • current share price, November 5, 2021: $94
  • target, November 5, 2022: $107

3Q21: earnings, company's presentation, pdf here.

  • EPS: beats by 5.68%
  • revenue: beats by 9.54%
  • shifting to double premium; EOG's presentation
  • higher returns + lower declines + more free cash flow
  • record results
  • adjusted net income: $1.3 billion; quarterly record
  • adjusted EPS: $2.16
  • free cash flow: $1.4 billion; quarterly record
  • low breakeven:
  • WTI:
  • $30: discretionary cash flow; breakeven at $30 WTI
  • $36: regular dividends covered
  • $65: regular dividends covered; supports special dividends; plus debt reduction;
  • committed tos sustainable, growing regular dividend
  • "no growth until market clearly needs the barrels"
  • 2021 plan does not change with higher oil price
  • low spare capacity

Cash returned to shareholders:

  • almost doubles the quarterly dividend from 42 cents (or thereabouts) to $75 cents, or $3.00 annualized;
  • declares a special dividend of $2.00, payable before the end of 2021. 


 Breakevens:

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